The general perception was created through the media that Nawaz Sharif will be granted bail on the medical ground and will be allowed to go abroad for medical treatment. Political perceptions are generally stronger than reality. Many people now argue that IHC decision is a clear indication that no deal was made and Nawaz Sharif is still in defiance mood. Now general perception will be that Nawaz Sharif languishes in jail because he is not ready to make such deal.
The deal is about securing a political role and future for Shahbaz Sharif and PML-N. The deal provides no political role to Nawaz Sharif. Nawaz Sharif is trying to secure the political future for Maryam. Nawaz Sharif might spend some more time in jail before getting relief from the courts.
The rejection of former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s bail petition on medical ground by Islamabad High court, once again triggered debate on deal or no deal with Sharif family. In my view, this decision has nothing to do with deal or compromise as the previous decision of Islamabad High Court to suspend the sentences of Nawaz Sharif , Maryam Nawaz and captain ® Safdar handed down by accountability court.
I wrote an analysis few days back on the issue of deal and provided the outline of the deal or compromise between the powers that be and Sharif family. Despite this court order, I still stand on my analysis and information. The deal has already been done. And don’t be surprised. Because our history is full of such political compromises and deals that was made between political forces and establishment.
The divisional bench of Islamabad high Court in its 9 page decision has given clear grounds for the rejection of Nawaz Sharif’s petition on medical grounds. I strongly believe that honorable bench IHC has given this decision on merit and it has nothing to do with a deal. The court has decided the case on the legal and factual grounds.
But this decision will help both PML-N and the PTI government to dispel the impression that no deal has been done. Both sides will use the presence of Nawaz Sharif in jail as an evidence to deny the existence of such deal. Both sides were under pressure on the question of a deal. This decision will help to release this pressure. Whatever happen now in this legal battle, will be not be seen in the context of a deal.
When courts decide the cases of prominent politicians, these decisions certainly has political implications. This decision comes at a time when the political atmosphere is filled with discussions and rumours regarding the deal between real powers of this country and Sharif family. So it is natural that people are looking at this decision from this angle and background.
This court decision doesn’t mean that no deal has been done. But it is a political deal and involves a political process and decisions. And this process will be a lengthy one. So don’t jump to conclusions in a hurry.
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17 November, 2019