American presidential elections are just 11 days away. Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is still leading in national polls. Since the last presidential debate, Trump’s popularity has i has slightly increased. Joe Biden is now leading 9.84% points in latest national polls.
According to the latest prediction from Real Clear Politics suggests Democratic Party candidate Joe Biden’s support is slipping a little to 50.9. Trump is trailing on 42.4%. He’s still 8.5 points ahead of President Trump, though. But he was in double figures earlier this week.
According to data from multiple opinion polls, aggregated by fivethirtyeight.com, a U.S.- based news website, Biden had a 10.7% point lead over Trump in national polls as of October 17. In March, the gap was narrower (4%-6% points). It widened in June (6%-9.5% points) and increased further in October (8%-10.5% points).
This lead in popular votes is not the guarantee for the success in November 03 elections. The winning candidate needed to secure 270 Electoral College votes. Each state in US has Electoral College votes according to its population. For instance, the biggest state in America California has 55 electoral votes. The small states like Maine, Nebraska has three votes each.
Hillary won nearly three million more votes than Trump but still lost the presidency because she failed to secure 270 electoral votes. She just won 232 electoral votes while Trump got 306 votes.
A handful of swing states will probably decide the election and be targeted heavily by campaigners. Joe Biden is leading in 04 out of 08 crucial battleground states. Two important states Florida and North Carolina are too close to call. Trump has the lead in two states.
Biden is leading in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Wisconsin with clear margin. Trump is leading in Ohio and Iowa states.
Six of the eight states we focused on were those that flipped to Trump in 2016 after backing Barack Obama in 2012. Arizona and North Carolina were also added due to what they might tell us about a shifting electoral landscape – they could emerge as vital new swing states this year.
We must caution that the polls – particularly some swing state polls – severely undercounted Trump supporters in 2016. We are not certain, despite assurances, that they have corrected this. Additionally, they may be over-counting Democratic support (more people may say they will vote for Biden than actually turn out).
Days before the U.S. presidential election, opinion polls show that democratic nominee Joe Biden is significantly ahead of incumbent Donald Trump in the race for the White House.
While Biden appeals to a broad variety of people cutting across age, race and gender lines, Trump holds an edge among white, male, older and under-educated voters.
According to a study by the Pew Research Center, views on Trump are central to voting choices — both among his supporters and Biden’s. In October, 63% of Biden’s supporters said their choice was more a vote “against Trump”. Also, 71% of Trump’s supporters said their choice was more a vote “for Trump”.
Overall, Biden enjoys significant acceptance across gender, race, age and education lines. However, Trump holds a slight advantage over Biden in certain sections of the population.
Among both men and women, Biden was favoured by the majority, though the gap was narrow among men.
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