As soon as Ch Nisar Ali Khan announced to take oath as member provincial assembly, the rumor mills started working round the clock. All sorts of conspiracy theories and plans are being discussed by political analysts and commentators.
The most popular conspiracy theory is that Ch Nisar Ali Khan will become the chief minister of Punjab after the budget. The theory is that establishment is not happy with CM Buzdar and wants to replace him. But PM Imran Khan wants to keep Buzdar as CM Punjab.
So Ch Nisar Ali Khan will become CM with the help of establishment and support of opposition parties and Jahangir Tareen group. But question arise here that why PML-N will support CH Nisar as CM Punjab when he is not even a member of PML-N.
The other factor is that Nawaz Sharif and his daughter Maryam Nawaz have soared relations with Chaudhry of Chakri and they will oppose his candidacy. The other factor is that he never enjoys good relations with PPP. It will be hard for both sides to support each other.
The matter of fact is that Ch Nisar Ali Khan is not taking oath to become part of a political plan. He has been forced to take oath mainly by two factors.
There are two real reasons behind his decision to take oath. One is the planned ordinance of PTI government to disqualify an elected member of assembly who failed to take oath within three months of winning elections. The ordinance will bared such members to contest future elections.
This planned ordinance forced Ch Nisar Ali Khan to change his decision not to take oath in protest. He believes that establishment played a role in his defeat on a national assembly seat. He was not happy with the result and decided not to take oath of provincial assembly seat he won.
Two, He wants to end his political isolation and wants to be part of future political settlement. It is not easy for him to go back to join PML-N. There are many reasons including his big ego and differences with Nawaz Sharif and other PML-N stalwarts.
Ch Nisar wants to keep himself relevant in the power corridors. He can see the game has opened for future political set up. So he doesn’t want to miss the opportunity. He remained on the side lines for nearly three years.
There is no doubt that Ch Nisar Ai Khan is a rightwing conservative pro-establishment politician. He never hides his relations with establishment as his family has long association with Pakistan Army. His father and two brothers served in the army as senior officers.
Unlike many pro-establishment politicians he still keeps clean image. He also remained loyal with his party PML-N throughout his political career before he decided to parts way in 2018. He was one of the closet aids of former PM Nawaz Sharif and used to deal with establishment on Nawaz Sharif’s behalf. He never betrayed his leader and party throughout his political career. He must be given credit for his loyalty.
Ch Nisar Ali Khan himself tried to refute the rumors and conspiracy theories regarding his oath taking. Addressing a press conference in Lahore, Khan stressed that he wasn’t part of any “political game”.
Ch Nisar Ali Khan reiterated today that his decision to take the oath was based on a “political development”.
He alleged that the government was making efforts to bring a “self-styled ordinance” despite rules relating to the election and disqualification of members from the National Assembly, provincial legislatures and the Senate being present in the Constitution.
They are in the effort to bring an ordinance in which a [ground for] disqualification is added,” he said, adding that he had no reservation on disqualification in accordance with the law but did have reservations if it was through “an ordinance in the darkness of night.”
Khan said if that had happened then “clearly I would not have contested the election myself, a representative of mine would have so they would have said: ‘On one hand he had doubts on the system but he is contesting the election the next time so he has accepted [its legitimacy].'”
On the other hand, not contesting the election would’ve been equivalent to giving a “free hand” to his political opponents, he said, particularly with the general elections so near. “So that is why I decided to take oath.”
He also called for visits to his constituencies to determine whether he was representing them and to what extent he was active and in contact with the people to solve their problems.
Chaudhry Nisar has stayed out of media spotlight since he parted ways with the PML-N in 2018 after a 34-year association. His departure from the party came after he publicly spoke of his differences with the Sharif brothers and expressed his displeasure over their decisions. His silence has been construed by many as a rethink on his decision to leave the party. He was last seen publicly during the funeral of the late Kulsoom Nawaz in Lahore.
Ch Nisar Ali Khan is likely to take oath today as member of Punjab Assembly. He was elected from PP-10 Rawalpindi (v) bagging 53143 votes. Despite winning provincial assembly seat convincingly, he lost the national assembly seat against Ghulam Sarwar Khan of PTI. It was the first time that Ch Nisar Ali Khan lost his home constituency since 1985. He won this seat 08 times in a row.
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