The presidential election has gone to the wire. No one really thought that this election will go down to couple of thousand votes in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Nevada. For the first time Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden took the lead in the key state of Georgia which carries 16 votes in the Electoral College. He is leading by 917 votes. Trump had won Georgia by five percentage points in 2016.
The world’s attention has been focused on the states of Pennsylvania, Georgia and Nevada, where extremely tight races between the two presidential candidates have prevented the declaration of anyone as a winner yet.
Likewise in Pennsylvania, a key state with 20 electoral college votes, Trump’s early lead has been whittled down to a mere 0.3 points margin over Biden with many votes yet to be counted.
Just look at Georgia right now, Trump’s lead ate up by Biden and now he is leading. Biden is inching closer to victory. The results of mail in ballots have changed the election in a big way.
In Pennsylvania, he is just leading now with 18,000 votes. Now just compare this with Trump’s lead 24 hours ago, he was leading more than 6, 00,000 (six hundred thousand) votes. In Georgia, Trump was leading with more than 1, 32,000 votes 24 hours ago. Now there is real possibility that Biden might win both states. If Biden wins Georgia with couple of hundred votes, Trump will be doomed.
Joe Biden is still has nearly 47,000 votes lead in Arizona where Trump has eaten up wide early lead of Biden. Joe Biden is still maintaining his lead of around 11,000 votes in Nevada. It seems that Trump will ask for recount in Georgia, Pennsylvania and Nevada if he loses these states. If Trump wins Pennsylvania and Georgia with couple of hundred votes and hold on to his small lead in North Carolina then the election will be decided by Nevada.
If Trump loses Georgia and Pennsylvania then his game is over. Biden then might ended up securing more than 300 electoral votes.
There are two scenarios in front of us as far as Electoral College Votes are concerned. an outright victory for Biden with more than 300 votes or a narrow victory with 270 or 281 electoral votes. For Trump only possibility is a narrow victory if can win Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Nevada. It seems extremely difficult at this stage.
But must remember that whoever wins in Pennsylvania and Georgia it will be just couple of thousand or even couple of hundred votes. This close race might end up in courts. Already law suits have been filed in many states by Trump campaign.
We might end up in a 2000 like situation when Supreme Court decision paved the way for Bush to become president. Democratic candidate Algore won more popular votes than Georg W Bush but he lost on electoral votes. The 539 votes in Florida decided the elections in 2000.
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