Contrary to the general impression that PTI has achieved the required numbers in national assembly, in reality it still needs more seats to get the simple majority. The media is giving the impression that PTI has achieved the required number. This impression is wrong. PTI still needs more seats to form the government in the center. PTI is still short of simple majority.
137 seats required in the house of 272 to form the government in Islamabad with simple majority. The total number of seats including the 60 seats reserved for women and 10 seats for religious minority in the national assembly are 372. When a party or an alliance of different parties gets 137 directly contested seats then it automatically goes up to 172 women and minority seats.
Now the situation is that according to the official results PTI has won 115 seats. But its actual votes are less than that. The reason is that Imran Khan won 5 seats but he can only keep one seat and 4 seats will be vacant. PTI candidates Tahir Sadiq and Sarwar Khan won on two seats that mean they will vacate two seats. PTI ally Ch. Pervaiz Elahi won two seats and he can only keep one seat.
This practically means that PTI has 109 votes in the national assembly. If Pervaiz Khattak kept his provincial seat then he will vacate his national assembly seat. So the number will come down to 108. PML- Q has 3 votes. BAP has 3 seats. GDA 02 seats and AML has one seat. So the total number at the moment is at 119. If all the 13 independents votes for PTI then the number goes up to 132. PTI needs either MQM-P or BNP-M to achieve the required numbers.
PTI will try to include MQM-P and BNP-M in the federal coalition. Without them it will be very difficult for PTI to get the magic number of 136.
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21 August, 2019