In the Indian occupied Kashmir, BJP Hindu nationalist party leader, Narendra Modi’s campaign is finally materializing to show the true face of the government. The government secretly led by RSS, is committing several atrocities every day in Kashmir. The fear of a Gujarat-like mass culling looms overhead and is a harrowing reminder that India can get away with it. Communal riots are gradually increasing in tensions in the territory after th division of Jammu and Kashmir into two union territories. The vexed question remains, will Pakistan do anything about it.
To address the metaphorical elephant in the room, will there be a war? The obvious answer is NO, under no circumstance Pakistan seems to be eager to fight a war. While Pakistan maintains an antagonistic attitude towards the brutality, it has stuck primarily to bellicose statements and return fire on the Line of Control. The logical choice for Pakistan will be to avoid military confrontation and war with India, regardless of the situation in Kashmir.
God forbid, if an all out genocide does develop, Pakistan will primarily broaden the diplomatic campaigns sufficiently, in hopes getting the international community to take a side to restrain India. While this may seem as cowardice to some, it is not entirely accurate. The fact remains, clear as crystal that Pakistan cannot afford to go up against a country with a better economy at this point. Pakistan has had to to live in security, with a major portion of its budget going towards the security rather than development. For decades, the threat of war has always been just around the corner for Pakistanis and the dearth of development has significantly impacted the nation over the years.
Whereas, inside Pakistan the government’s main concern will always be to appease the public opinion to counter the statement claiming Pakistan betrayed Kashmir. Instead, Pakistan will have to start actively preventing Indian interference in AJK and Gilgit Baltistan and take measures to further strengthen itself. Pakistan as a result, has been deprived of good governance, democracy, development and peace. The results of this political degeneration are today evident with the current events. China will definitely come to Pakistan’s aid and provide diplomatic support to Pakistan, actively preventing India from making a move on Pakistani territories and preventing nuclear war.
It will be the biggest predicament for the current government will arise, lead the country into a war that we cannot win or accept the unacceptable. The prime minister of Pakistan will have to explain how Pakistan single-handedly cannot prevent India from perpetrating mass genocides in the Valley and a war isn’t a cost Pakistan can bear. Or the PM will have to take a risk of war, and deprive the nation of stability, purpose, and a future worth having. There are no hazard free options to stop destruction and genocide in Kashmir, and stay away from war with India. Pakistan’s atomic status is intended to hinder war not seek after war.
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17 November, 2019